Check the math: Thirteen most promising states

Start with the national threshold of 270 electoral votes needed to reach the majority electoral vote count in the Electoral College, then subtract the 172 electoral votes in place so far thanks to the 11 states and the District of Columbia who already have enacted the National Popular Vote into law, which gives us 98 electoral votes to go.


Now subtract the 114 electoral votes that the "Thirteen most promising states" would provide (88 plus 26) to see that this potentially would bring 16 more electoral votes than required for the national threshold.


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The following is a list of the "Thirteen most promising states" and the individual electoral votes they would contribute:

  • 88 electoral votes: AR (9), AZ (11), CO (9), DE (3), ME (3), MI (16), NC (15), NM (5), NV (6), OK (7), OR (7).
  • 26 electoral votes: GA (16), MO (10).

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If you happen to live in one of the "Thirteen most promising  states," or have family or friends there, please work hard STARTING NOW to not only get the National Popular Vote bill introduced into your 2019 state legislature but to keep it moving all the way until it's signed by your respective governor. For more information, use this National Popular Vote-New Mexico website as a great resource, regardless of where you live.


But even voters living in the battleground states would do well to support the National Popular Vote aside from the fact that it simply is the fair thing to do, because a given state's battleground status can easily change as a result of short-term news cycles, longer-term political and cultural shifts, or evolving demographics. To capture the ongoing fluidity of voter preferences, political analysts regularly prepare battleground lists during presidential campaigns and update them ever more frequently as elections draws nearer.


Here are the 12 states that were considered battlegrounds during the 2016 presidential election, five of which interestingly are part of the "Thirteen most promising states" for the National Popular Vote: AZ, CO, FL, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI.