Thirteen most promising states

New Mexico is one of the National Popular Vote's crucial thirteen most promising states, which consist of 11 states where the bill was passed in at least one house during previous years (88 electoral votes, including NM's five) and two more states where the bill was approved by unanimous committee votes (26 electoral votes).


If all thirteen states were to successfully pass the National Popular Vote bill, they potentially would have 16 more electoral votes than required to reach the national threshold (see below to check the math).


The following is a list of the thirteen most promising states and the individual electoral votes they would contribute:

88 electoral votes: AR (9), AZ (11), CO (9), DE (3), ME (3), MI (16), NC (15), NM (5), NV (6), OK (7), OR (7).

26 electoral votes: GA (16), MO (10).

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If you happen to live in one of the thirteen most promising states, or have family or friends there, please work hard STARTING NOW to not only get the National Popular Vote bill introduced into your 2019 state legislature but to keep it moving all the way until it's signed by your respective governor.


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But even voters living in the battleground states would do well to support the National Popular Vote aside from the fact that it simply is the fair thing to do.


For one, a given state's battleground status can easily change as a result of short-term news cycles, longer-term political and cultural shifts, or evolving demographics. To capture the ongoing fluidity of voter preferences, political analysts regularly prepare battleground lists during presidential campaigns and update them ever more frequently as elections draws nearer.


For another, even battleground state voters who are not part of their state's MAJORITY popular vote during the election are politically irrelevant.


Here are the 12 states that were considered battlegrounds during the 2016 presidential election, five of which interestingly are part of the "Thirteen most promising states" for the National Popular Vote: AZ, CO, FL, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI.

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Checking the math for the thirteen most promising states

Starting with the national threshold of 270 electoral votes needed to reach the majority electoral vote count in the Electoral College and then subtracting the 172 electoral votes in place so far thanks to the 11 states and the District of Columbia who already have enacted the National Popular Vote into law gives us 98 electoral votes to go.


Then, subtracting the 114 electoral votes that the thirteen most promising states would provide (88 plus 26) from the 98 electoral votes currently still needed shows us that this  would translate to potentially having 16 more electoral votes than required for the national threshold.


But such a successful outcome depends on ACTIVE and IMMEDIATE support from all of us!

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